NFL Playoff Trends

NFL Playoff Trends

The NFL's second season is finally here and we'll look at some trends that have occurred during the course of the past eight years.

The first is that underdogs have covered 48 times and failed to cover 38 times, which translates to a 55.8 winning percentage. Not bad, but nothing that makes you want to risk your bankroll on all four underdogs this weekend.

Since underdogs cover the majority of the time, it shouldn't come as a surprise that road teams are also a winning proposition, covering 44 times and not covering 34 times, which equates to a 56.4 percentage. What is a bit surprising is that road favorites were 5-3-1 against the spread, although that is a pretty small sample size and probably not one worth risking any money on.

In the Wild Card round, road teams have gone 18-13-1, while favorites are 14-17-1 during that time. It is interesting to note that in the past 25 years there has not been a home underdog of more than seven points in the postseason, something that will change, as New Orleans is currently favored by 10.5 at Seattle.

Totals Trends

Totals in the Wild Card games have traditionally been a 50-50 proposition, as there have been 15 overs and 17 unders during the past eight years. But some trends do start to develop as we move farther along in the playoffs.

In the Divisional round, there have been 12 overs and 20 unders over the past eight years and that trend reverses itself once the Championship games arrive, as there have been 12 overs, three unders and one push.

The Championship games have had the highest average points scored out of any of the three playoff rounds, which is a bit surprising. As always, when we get to this time of year it's advisable to check the weather before placing a wager.

Source: http://sportsgambling.about.com/od/nfl/a/nflplayofftrends.htm

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